Hey guys! So the Oscars are coming up next week and so I thought I would share my predictions and what I would pick if it was left up to just me. I don’t plan on watching this year because I think all of the political speeches will be completely insufferable and I don’t think Jimmy Kimmel is funny. I’ll just find out winners online.
Also, I realized I haven’t done a series on this blog for a long time. I was so overwhelmed with my Disney Canon Project over on my youtube channel last year that aside from the monthly blindspot picks I let that slide. I want to make sure to always provide content for both my channel and blog, so I am interested in doing another series. I have a poll so please vote on what you would like me to write about:
Anyway, here are my predictions/picks. Also I warn you I am notoriously awful at this. I have seen almost everything except for no documentary shorts, Elle and a couple docs/foreign films.
Best Picture- Arrival, Fences, Hacksaw Ridge, Hell or High Water, Hidden Figures, La La Land, Lion, Manchester by the Sea, Moonlight
Winner- La La Land. My Pick- Hacksaw Ridge
Best Director- Denis Villeneuve (Arrival), Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge), Damien Chazelle (La La Land), Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea), Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)
Winner- Damien Chazelle (La La Land). My Pick- Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge)
Best Actor- Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea), Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge), Ryan Gosling (La La Land), Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic), Denzel Washington (Fences)
Winner- Denzel Washington (Fences), My Pick- Denzel Washington (Fences)
Best Actress- Isabelle Huppert (Elle), Ruth Negga (Loving), Natalie Portman (Jackie), Emma Stone (La La Land), Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)
Winner- Isabelle Huppert (Elle), My Pick- Ruth Negga (Loving) (I have not seen Elle but my gut tells me they will go with the veteran who had 2 critically lauded films this year)
Best Supporting Actor- Mahershala Ali (Moonlight), Jeff Bridges in (Hell or High Water), Lucas Hedges ((Manchester by the Sea)), Dev Patel (Lion), Michael Shannon (Nocturnal Animals)
Winner- Mahershala Ali (Moonlight), My Pick- Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
Best Supporting Actress- Viola Davis (Fences), Naomie Harris (Moonlight), Nicole Kidman (Lion), Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures), Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
Winner- Viola Davis (Fences), My Pick- Viola Davis (Fences)
Best Original Screenplay- Hell or High Water, La La Land, The Lobster, Manchester by the Sea, 20th Century Women
I have not seen 20th Century Women.
Winner- Manchester by the Sea (please, please, please. La La Land does not deserve best screenplay!) My Pick- Hell or High Water
Best Adapted Screenplay- Arrival, Fences, Hidden Figures, Lion, Moonlight,
Winner- Moonlight, My Pick- Moonlight
Best Animated Film- Kubo and the Two Strings, Moana, My Life as a Zucchini, The Red Turtle, Zootopia
Winner- Zootopia, My Pick- Moana
Best Foreign Language Film- Land of Mine, A Man Called Ove, The Salesman, Tanna, Toni Erdmann
Winner- Toni Erdmann, My Pick- (Only one I’ve seen) A Man Called Ove
Best Documentary- Fire at Sea, I Am Not Your Negro, Life Animated, OJ Made in America, 13th
I haven’t seen Fire at Sea but seen the rest.
Winner- OJ Made in America, My Pick- Life Animated
Documentary Shorts- Extremis, 4.1 Miles, Joe’s Violin, Watani: My Homeland, The White Helmets
I haven’t seen any of these shorts but the one I hear the most buzz about is Joe’s Violin
Live Action Short- Ennemis interieurs, La Femme et le TGV, Silent Nights, Sing, Timecode
Winner- Silent Nights, My Pick- Sing
Animated Short- Blind Vaysha, Borrowed Time, Pear Cider and Cigarettes, Pearl, Piper
Winner- Pearl, My Pick- Piper
Best Score- Jackie, La La Land, Lion, Moonlight, Passengers
Winner- La La Land, My Pick- Moonlight
Best Original Song- Audition (La La Land), Can’t Stop the Feeling (Trolls), City of Stars (La La Land), Empty Chair (Jim: The James Foley Story), How Far I’ll Go (Moana)
Winner- City of Stars (La La Land), My Pick- How Far I’ll Go (Moana)
Best Sound Editing- Arrival, Deepwater Horizon, Hacksaw Ridge, La La Land, Sully
Winner- Hacksaw Ridge, My Pick- Hacksaw Ridge
Best Sound Mixing- Arrival, Hacksaw Ridge, La La Land, Rogue One, 13 Hours
Winner- Hacksaw Ridge, My Pick- 13 Hours
Production Design- Arrival, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Hail Caesar, La La Land, Passengers
Winner- La La Land, My Pick- Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Best Cinematography- Arrival, La La Land, Lion, Moonlight, Silence
Winner- La La Land, My Pick- Lion
Make Up- A Man Called Ove, Star Trek Beyond, Suicide Squad
Winner- Star Trek Beyond, My Pick- Star Trek Beyond
Costume Design- Allied, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Florence Foster Jenkins, Jackie, La La Land
Winner- Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, My Pick- Florence Foster Jenkins
Best Film Editing- Arrival, Hacksaw Ridge, Hell or High Water, La La Land, Moonlight
Winner- La La Land, My Pick- Hacksaw Ridge
Visual Effects- Deepwater Horizon, Doctor Strange, Rogue One, Jungle Book, Kubo and the 2 Strings
Winner- Jungle Book, My Pick- Jungle Book
So there you have it! Hope you enjoy my predictions. What do you think of them? And thanks for voting in the poll
Lol. My pick – everything but La La Land. Especially production design, director, actress? Its definitely winning those 3. Dont let yourself have high hopes when we all know Triple L is only losing maybe 4 or 5 trophies oscar night hun.
Interesting that you’re so sure on actress. I’d say score is the other lock. But yeah it’s kind of frustrating. Screenplay is one that will really annoy me. Oh well. It’s just a popularity contest in the end
Seems like we agree on most of them. So you think Fantastic Beasts will win Costume Design? That’s an interesting choice.
Yeah costumes winners are an exclusive club and Colleen Atwood is queen of that club.
Sorry that this is unrelated but I have a post suggestion.
PLEASE do a ‘Dreamworks VS Pixar’ post as we debated it at the dinner table today and I was shocked to see my whole family day ‘Dreamworks. I like Shrek and Madagascar as much as the next bloke but really?! There would be no Shrek without Toy Story.
It would be interesting for you to consider both sides as I can see an argument for both (I just think the Pixar case is stronger) 😁
Interesting idea! I definitely am on Pixar side but I could try to be objective and not just be my opinion
You’re welcome.
Been thinking for a while now, and … I might start a Movie blog (as well as my Simpsons/TSTO Blog) because I always have so many opinions, reviews and ideas that I need to get them out 😄.
Still thinking about it but there’s a chance.
On the topic of Oscars …
I agree, La La Land shouldn’t get best screenplay but it does deserve some nominations (best score, maybe?) because it was enjoyable.
Agree with you on Piper for ‘your pick’. It’s so beautiful ❤. Borrowed Time looks good but I haven’t seen it – how do you? It’s not on the internet 😢.
Really hoping for a Moana win for best original score!!
And Production Design should go to Fantastic Beasts and where to find them IMO, too.
Borrowed Time was available online a few months ago but I saw live and animated shorts in theater actually
Wow, you really hate La La Land. Kidding! (but kinda not). I mean if it were up to you it would get nothing. I guess seeing it win all those awards is too much to bear. LOL I know you plan on not watching because of politics, but can you really resist the Academy Awards? I can’t not watch because the Oscars are so much a part of the pop culture zeitgeist. However I really hope the winners remember the award exists to honor the movies.
Yeah often La La Land would be my second choice particularly in score but I love the score in Moonlight. It was haunting and beautiful. Yeah I plan on just following on twitter this year. I just can’t take being preached to all evening by these celebrities who live in their bubble. It’s interesting I’ve noticed a lot of other musical theater buffs like me are not that in love with La La Land. The songs just weren’t memorable to me but it’s fine. It doesn’t deserve the outright hate either. I dont have a problem with it being nomimated. I think Arrival and Fences are worse but those are admirable in many ways.
The Oscars are far too often a popularity contest and not about what is truly best. The La La Land screenplay being nominated is proof of that. I can probably think of 50 movies with better screenplays than La La Land. I also dont think Emma Stone should win. I wish Moana would win song because I think it was much better song but I’m in the minority there. Oh well.
I think what annoys me most of all is people saying the musical is dead and La La Land resurrected it. It shows to these people animation is second tier and not worthy of being considered as real films. How can anyone say that when one of the biggest films of recent memory, Frozen, was a musical? Anyway that really annoys me.
But the hyperbole is separate from the actual film, which is good but I just simply like other films more. It happens. LOL
If you think I’m bad this year you should have seen me in 2014. Birdman is a film I actually hate and found very misogynistic and to see it beat Boyhood made me nuts
Re: the shorts, I see you liked ‘Sing’ and ‘Piper’ the best. I like those choices. Did you write a detailed post regarding the Live-Action and Animated shorts this year? I love that for the past decade it’s much easier for the public to see them now. I posted some brief thoughts about all of the nominees in those 2 categories on my blog. Love to hear your in-depth thoughts about the nominees and my ranking over there. 😉
I will definitely write up my thoughts. Thanks for the reminder. I also like these shorts are being seen more and I think the Academy’s promotion and praise of shorts is one of the best things they do
I think you’ve made some good predictions here! That said, I do recon Casey Affleck will get Best Actor
you should check out my predictions
https://jacobsonbblog.wordpress.com/2017/02/19/89th-academy-awards-predictions/
I like your insights!
I have some predictions of my own in my sight 🙂